Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.024272 0.026102 0.028011 0.030153 0.032493 0.034973 0.037807
2025-01-12 0.020854 0.023398 0.026188 0.029486 0.033288 0.037550 0.042708
2025-01-19 0.019067 0.022091 0.025537 0.029776 0.034877 0.040854 0.048438
2025-01-26 0.017570 0.020884 0.024778 0.029726 0.035893 0.043388 0.053284
2025-02-02 0.016580 0.020146 0.024450 0.030076 0.037307 0.046389 0.058818
2025-02-09 0.015475 0.019157 0.023702 0.029788 0.037822 0.048206 0.062871
2025-02-16 0.014599 0.018378 0.023138 0.029655 0.038473 0.050173 0.067192
2025-02-23 0.013796 0.017631 0.022551 0.029423 0.038931 0.051859 0.071186
2025-03-02 0.013166 0.017065 0.022155 0.029399 0.039638 0.053890 0.075766
2025-03-09 0.012463 0.016357 0.021519 0.028992 0.039758 0.055063 0.079133
2025-03-16 0.011779 0.015637 0.020822 0.028446 0.039627 0.055835 0.081907
2025-03-23 0.011251 0.015102 0.020348 0.028182 0.039870 0.057147 0.085571
2025-03-30 0.010746 0.014581 0.019875 0.027898 0.040077 0.058427 0.089303
2025-04-06 0.010178 0.013944 0.019205 0.027287 0.039744 0.058847 0.091658
2025-04-13 0.009914 0.013728 0.019129 0.027551 0.040761 0.061423 0.097756
2025-04-20 0.009580 0.013395 0.018862 0.027505 0.041280 0.063221 0.102650
2025-04-27 0.009370 0.013233 0.018837 0.027824 0.042387 0.066031 0.109506
2025-05-04 0.009019 0.012845 0.018456 0.027561 0.042529 0.067232 0.113567
2025-05-11 0.008727 0.012534 0.018174 0.027440 0.042890 0.068815 0.118426
2025-05-18 0.008430 0.012202 0.017848 0.027228 0.043081 0.070102 0.122818
2025-05-25 0.008196 0.011959 0.017647 0.027207 0.043588 0.071966 0.128439
2025-06-01 0.007894 0.011598 0.017246 0.026835 0.043467 0.072692 0.131887
2025-06-08 0.007579 0.011207 0.016782 0.026338 0.043097 0.072937 0.134381